Presidential speech analytics for prediction markets

Speeches Β· just now

Trump-O-Meter
Prediction Market
KALSHIResolved NO

Will Trump say "Pelosi" before Jun 1, 2026?

Resolved

NO

Related markets
Resolution rules

If Pelosi, or a plural or possessive form of Pelosi, is stated by Donald Trump before Jun 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical inflections for plurals and possessives are included (e.g., "immigrant" includes "immigrants" and "immigrant's"), but other tense inflections, hyphenated compounds, and synonyms are not included. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. If the word must be said a minimum number of times, all instances must occur after market issuance.

Trade on Kalshi β†’

Two tiers. One question each.

See the full picture on β€œpelosi”

Access Β· $29/mo

Research what he said

  • 30 days of speeches, fully searchable
  • Per-speech market scorecard + speech comparison
  • Live market prices on every tracked word
Start with Access

Pro Β· from $79/mo

Study where prices diverge

  • Weekly frequency charts on every word
  • Hit rate, trend, peak week, base rate
  • Gap scanner + market spreads
  • Full speech history back to 2017
Start with Pro

First 72 hours free. Card required β€” cancel anytime before the trial ends.