Presidential speech analytics for prediction markets

Speeches · 1m ago

Trump-O-Meter
Prediction Market
POLYActive

Will Trump post on Truth Social 20+ times on July 4?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts 20 or more times on Truth Social between July 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET and July 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Term

post on truth social 20+ times

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts 20 or more times on Truth Social between July 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET and July 4, 2026 11:59 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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