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Speeches Β· 3m ago

Trump-O-Meter
Prediction Market
POLYActive

Will Trump say "Stage" during UFC 250?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is spoken by Donald Trump during the UFC Freedom 250 broadcast on June 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the entirety of the UFC Freedom 250 broadcast, from the moment the stream begins to the moment it ends, including all pre-fight and post-fight segments. Prerecorded clips of Trump speaking will not count toward this market's resolution. Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a term, a full-phrase mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about "United / States 5+ times," a mention of "United States" will count once; if a market is about "Joe / Biden" 5+ times, a mention of "Joe Biden" will count once). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If this event is only partially available by June 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point. The resolution source for this market is the official CBS and Paramount+ broadcast of this event. Only remarks made live by Donald Trump during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is spoken by Donald Trump during the UFC Freedom 250 broadcast on June 14, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the entirety of the UFC Freedom 250 broadcast, from the moment the stream begins to the moment it ends, including all pre-fight and post-fight segments. Prerecorded clips of Trump speaking will not count toward this market's resolution. Commercials which are not part of the show itself will not qualify toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a term, a full-phrase mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about "United / States 5+ times," a mention of "United States" will count once; if a market is about "Joe / Biden" 5+ times, a mention of "Joe Biden" will count once). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by June 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If this event is only partially available by June 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point. The resolution source for this market is the official CBS and Paramount+ broadcast of this event. Only remarks made live by Donald Trump during the official broadcast will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

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